Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.156718 0.167650 0.179063 0.191887 0.205918 0.220831 0.237914
2025-12-14 0.137613 0.153586 0.171199 0.192159 0.216544 0.244168 0.278042
2025-12-21 0.124358 0.142572 0.163374 0.189075 0.220229 0.257097 0.304519
2025-12-28 0.115244 0.134962 0.158123 0.187621 0.224606 0.270005 0.330831
2026-01-04 0.109965 0.131218 0.156809 0.190305 0.233614 0.288603 0.365162
2026-01-11 0.103841 0.125853 0.152911 0.189155 0.237262 0.300154 0.390723
2026-01-18 0.098079 0.120484 0.148528 0.186860 0.238942 0.308845 0.412656
2026-01-25 0.092677 0.115206 0.143859 0.183737 0.239068 0.315127 0.431322
2026-02-01 0.090489 0.113927 0.144252 0.187294 0.248404 0.334660 0.470687
2026-02-08 0.086506 0.110036 0.140906 0.185427 0.249844 0.342790 0.493341
2026-02-15 0.083507 0.107293 0.138927 0.185279 0.253621 0.354434 0.522233
2026-02-22 0.079619 0.103149 0.134798 0.181788 0.252176 0.357970 0.538210
2026-03-01 0.076933 0.100581 0.132790 0.181314 0.255296 0.368864 0.567548
2026-03-08 0.074733 0.098596 0.131503 0.181814 0.259906 0.382392 0.602627
2026-03-15 0.071662 0.095244 0.128095 0.178930 0.259009 0.386885 0.622171
2026-03-22 0.069260 0.092743 0.125796 0.177577 0.260396 0.395127 0.649083
2026-03-29 0.068124 0.092007 0.126023 0.180076 0.268071 0.414377 0.698152
2026-04-05 0.066070 0.089849 0.124041 0.179005 0.269781 0.423438 0.728642
2026-04-12 0.063854 0.087370 0.121475 0.176867 0.269552 0.429017 0.752752
2026-04-19 0.061564 0.084702 0.118518 0.173958 0.267824 0.431747 0.771306
2026-04-26 0.060984 0.084561 0.119395 0.177272 0.276940 0.454780 0.834159
2026-05-03 0.059186 0.082520 0.117261 0.175532 0.277100 0.461157 0.862278
2026-05-10 0.057866 0.081160 0.116131 0.175394 0.280067 0.473006 0.903585